Language:English
Athletics v Tampa Bay Rays
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Athletics (Local)
Prediction 33.12%3.02fair odd
EV +2.67%
Edge +0.861%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%33.23%33.03%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.852.853.1038.17%35.11%35.09%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)
Prediction 66.88%1.50fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.37%66.77%66.97%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.4772.46%69.75%69.44%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 33.12%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 66.88%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%EV +2.67%E +0.861%K +1.27%G +0.034% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +1.01%E +0.332%K +0.494%G +0.005% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.70%E -5.58%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.312%E -0.104%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.643%E -0.214%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.96%EV -1.64%E -0.551%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.04%EV -2.35%E -1.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -1.64%E -0.551%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -1.64%E -0.551%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -1.97%E -0.665%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.35%E -1.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-12 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 17:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -2.30%E -0.779%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -7.04%E -5.06%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -2.63%E -0.895%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -2.63%E -0.895%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -2.96%E -1.01%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 18:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 17:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 17:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 18:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.96%E -1.36%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 16:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.61%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 17:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-12 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -6.27%E -2.22%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -4.36%E -3.05%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.03%E -3.54%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.70%E -4.04%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.27%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 18:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.92%E -3.24%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.35%E -1.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.69%E -2.56%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.58%E -3.92%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.37%E -4.55%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -13.23%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -3.02%E -2.08%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 18:52 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18% | -0.1% | 2026-08-12 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.16% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.84% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 1.7% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-08-12 19:05 |