Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–5 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 52.84%1.89fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.79%52.81%54.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.801.8558.14%55.43%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 47.16%2.12fair odd
EV +0.444%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.393%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.34%47.21%47.19%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.002.1352.63%49.61%50.00%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 52.84%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 47.16%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.444%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -4.35%E -2.41%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV +0.444%E +0.208%K +0.393%G +0.002%2.2%2026-05-14 19:05
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -0.028%E -0.013%K -0.025%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-14 18:45
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.499%E -0.237%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-14 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.499%E -0.237%K -0.450%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 19:04
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -7.52%E -4.30%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -0.499%E -0.237%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 19:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.971%E -0.462%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -0.971%E -0.462%K -0.883%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-14 19:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -7.52%E -4.30%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -0.971%E -0.462%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 19:04
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.24%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.44%E -0.690%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-14 18:45
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.24%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -1.91%E -0.920%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-14 18:45
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.35%E -2.41%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -2.86%E -1.39%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-14 19:00
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 18:55
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 19:05
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-14 17:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.47%E -3.65%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.27%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -4.27%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-14 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.27%E -2.10%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-14 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 19:00
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.24%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-14 19:05
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-14 16:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:10
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-14 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.35%E -2.41%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-14 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 18:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 16:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 17:00
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.47%E -3.65%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.69%E -2.84%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 19:04
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-14 19:04
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.41%E -3.02%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.63%E -3.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-14 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.10%E -3.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-14 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.10%E -3.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.10%E -3.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.10%E -3.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 19:05
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.10%E -3.60%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 19:05
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:05
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 19:05
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-14 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.04%E -4.13%K -8.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -7.00%E -3.97%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -8.99%E -4.66%K -9.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -9.11%E -5.30%K -12.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -9.46%E -4.93%K -10.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.88%E -2.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.40%E -5.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 19:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-14 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-05-14 19:05
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-14 19:05
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-14 19:05
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-05-14 19:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-05-14 19:06
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-05-14 19:05
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%4.1%2026-05-14 19:04
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-05-14 19:05