Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 19:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 1–9 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV +0.118%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.07%47.55%47.72%48.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.45%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.585%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.91%52.45%52.28%53.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.811.821.8956.82%55.11%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 47.68%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 52.32%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.098. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.118%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.118%E +0.056%K +0.108%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.835%E -0.401%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.86%E -3.86%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.835%E -0.401%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.86%E -3.86%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 18:30
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:29
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.31%E -0.634%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 18:30
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:59
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 19:00
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.91%E -4.49%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.91%E -4.49%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.91%E -4.49%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.79%E -0.868%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.91%E -4.49%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.63%E -0.867%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-27 19:00
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.15%E -1.15%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -2.68%E -1.44%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.20%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 17:49
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 19:00
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.74%E -1.34%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.11%E -0.585%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-27 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.22%E -1.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.63%E -0.867%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 19:00
BetAnything🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -3.22%E -1.59%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.63%E -0.867%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 18:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.72%E -2.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 17:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.72%E -2.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.70%E -1.83%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 18:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.20%E -1.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 17:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:59
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:59
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:59
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 17:58
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:09
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:10
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 19:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.29%E -2.92%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 17:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 17:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.65%E -2.32%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.39%E -4.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 15:50
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.13%E -2.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.72%E -2.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.13%E -2.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -5.13%E -2.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 18:38
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.25%E -2.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 18:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.77%E -2.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.60%E -2.83%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.56%E -3.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 17:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.03%E -3.61%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.82%E -3.23%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-27 17:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-27 19:00
ProphetX2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-05-27 19:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-27 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-27 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-27 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-27 18:20
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-27 16:40
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-27 17:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.2%2026-05-27 19:00
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-05-27 18:49