Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 1–10 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 56.85%1.76fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.95%56.81%56.85%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7462.50%60.02%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 43.15%2.32fair odd
EV -0.325%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.248%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%43.19%43.15%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.212.3150.00%45.08%45.25%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 56.85%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 43.15%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -0.325%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.08%E -0.621%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 16:55
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.19%E -0.519%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 19:55
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.05%E -0.903%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 20:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.79%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 20:05
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.325%E -0.141%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 19:30
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.19%E -0.519%K -0.921%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.64%E -2.10%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:19
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 20:05
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.39%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 19:54
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 00:35
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 01:15
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.37%E -2.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:50
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.92%E -2.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.35%E -1.49%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:50
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 20:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.21%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 17:40
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 19:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 00:35
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.06%E -3.03%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.23%E -3.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.20%E -3.76%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.91%E -1.29%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -6.77%E -4.13%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -7.33%E -4.50%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -3.78%E -1.69%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.90%E -4.88%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.07%E -2.31%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.756%E -0.329%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:40
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -9.04%E -5.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -6.37%E -2.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-05-17 20:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30%0.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-05-17 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-17 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-17 20:00
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-17 20:05
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.43%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.57%1.2%2026-05-17 20:05
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-05-17 20:05
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 20:05
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-05-17 19:25