Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–6 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 54.78%1.83fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.66%54.83%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.741.8060.24%57.78%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 45.22%2.21fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.375%
Kelly +0.680%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.54%45.34%45.17%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.142.2350.00%47.08%46.73%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 54.78%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 45.22%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.836%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.836%E +0.375%K +0.680%G +0.006%3.0%2026-05-17 01:40
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.520%E -0.236%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 01:30
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.972%E -0.444%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-17 01:35
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.972%E -0.444%K -0.817%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 01:40
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.42%E -0.653%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 01:37
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.42%E -0.653%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 01:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.42%E -0.653%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.42%E -0.653%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.87%E -4.04%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -1.42%E -0.653%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 00:10
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 00:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 00:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 00:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.97%E -4.74%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -1.88%E -0.865%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -2.33%E -1.08%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 15:59
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 10:10
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 17:14
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 01:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.51%E -5.10%K -12.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -2.78%E -1.29%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 01:10
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.23%E -1.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 10:10
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.23%E -1.51%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.08%EV -9.06%E -5.46%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -4.14%E -1.95%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.59%E -2.18%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 01:39
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 01:40
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 01:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:30
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 03:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.78%E -3.36%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.42%E -4.39%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.04%E -2.40%K -4.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 01:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.95%E -2.86%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 01:39
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.40%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.40%E -3.09%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.04%E -1.72%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 01:40
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.68%E -2.69%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.23%E -3.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.32%E -3.70%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.30%E -3.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 01:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.39%E -0.774%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.49%E -1.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.58%E -2.04%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 01:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.13%E -2.36%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.56%E -4.78%K -9.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-05-17 01:39
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-17 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-05-17 01:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-17 01:30
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-17 01:40
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-05-17 01:35
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%2.1%2026-05-17 01:40
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-05-17 01:40