Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 5–2 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.564%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.52%54.26%56.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8258.82%56.90%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV +0.362%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.302%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.96%45.48%45.74%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.2048.78%47.75%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 54.38%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 45.62%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.362%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV +0.362%E +0.165%K +0.302%G +0.001%2.0%2026-05-16 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.550%E -0.252%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -0.550%E -0.252%K -0.466%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 01:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -0.550%E -0.252%K -0.466%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 01:29
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.01%E -0.464%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-16 01:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.92%E -0.892%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 01:30
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.92%E -0.892%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 01:39
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.03%E -0.564%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.868%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 23:20
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.57%E -0.868%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.83%E -1.33%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:29
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 01:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.11%E -1.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 01:35
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 17:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:35
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 21:20
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:30
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:02
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:00
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 01:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 23:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.55%E -4.44%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.20%E -2.00%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.20%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:25
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.83%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.46%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:50
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:50
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.57%E -2.69%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:50
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -6.02%E -2.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 21:45
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:35
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.92%E -3.42%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.48%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-16 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-05-16 01:35
ProphetX1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%0.6%2026-05-16 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-16 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-05-16 01:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-16 01:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-16 01:40
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-16 01:40
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-05-16 01:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%2.1%2026-05-16 01:40