Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 02:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–4 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 41.79%2.39fair odd
EV +0.292%
Edge +0.122%
Kelly +0.209%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.67%41.78%42.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.302.292.4044.44%43.55%43.76%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 58.21%1.72fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.54%58.33%58.22%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.651.6863.69%60.88%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 41.79%; New York Yankees (Visit): 58.21%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.292%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%EV +0.292%E +0.122%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 02:00
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +0.292%E +0.122%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -8.61%E -5.48%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:20
GTbets🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.126%E -0.053%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 02:00
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -0.126%E -0.053%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 02:00
BetAnything🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.84%EV -0.126%E -0.053%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.544%E -0.228%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -0.544%E -0.228%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 02:00
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -0.544%E -0.228%K -0.394%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-31 01:59
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.961%E -0.406%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.28%E -3.90%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -0.961%E -0.406%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.28%E -3.90%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 01:30
Caesars🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:49
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.80%E -0.765%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 01:39
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.47%E -1.50%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.20%E -1.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-30 23:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 22:50
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 23:39
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.79%E -1.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 00:10
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:09
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 20:10
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 00:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 17:00
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.89%E -1.69%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.86%E -4.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 04:30
DraftKings🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.30%E -1.88%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 23:50
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.72%E -2.07%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 21:40
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 21:41
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:30
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.12%E -3.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 00:30
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.56%E -2.46%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.56%E -2.46%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.37%E -2.03%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 23:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 20:49
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 02:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 20:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 23:50
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 23:49
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 23:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.95%E -2.39%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 23:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 04:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.53%E -2.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 02:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 01:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 01:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.70%E -3.52%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-30 08:09
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.98%E -2.66%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.86%E -4.29%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.41I 41.49%NM 41.50%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.50%-0.0%2026-05-31 02:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-05-31 02:00
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-31 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-31 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-31 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-05-31 01:50
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-05-31 02:00
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-05-31 01:40
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-30 00:00
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.3%2026-05-31 01:50