Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 20:05 UTC

Final: Athletics 8–13 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 39.27%2.55fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.810%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%39.32%39.24%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.462.6044.44%40.74%40.65%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 60.73%1.65fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%60.68%60.76%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.571.561.6366.23%63.86%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 39.27%; New York Yankees (Visit): 60.73%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.11%E +0.810%K +1.32%G +0.028%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.30%E -5.50%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-31 19:10
theScore Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%EV +0.535%E +0.209%K +0.343%G +0.002%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-31 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.143%E +0.056%K +0.092%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-31 19:10
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 19:59
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-31 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 19:08
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 19:10
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:10
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:09
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.82%E -0.728%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.69%E -5.06%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 20:00
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.21%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.62%E -1.00%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-31 20:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -2.21%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-31 19:59
BetAnything🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -2.21%E -0.889%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-31 20:00
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 19:59
FanDuel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-31 19:20
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.61%E -1.05%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -3.00%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 20:00
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -3.00%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 19:20
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -1.01%E -0.621%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-31 19:10
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -3.39%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -2.23%E -1.38%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-31 20:00
ReBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-31 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 20:00
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.66%E -2.97%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-31 20:00
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:59
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 19:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.78%E -1.54%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 19:59
DraftKings🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -4.96%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 20:00
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.96%E -2.05%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-31 17:39
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 20:00
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 19:29
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 19:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 19:59
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.44%E -2.16%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 20:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 19:59
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 19:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.26%E -3.37%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 19:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 20:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.75%E -2.40%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.87%E -3.79%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.53%E -2.75%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.53%E -2.75%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.09%E -4.63%K -13.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 19:19
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -6.93%E -2.92%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -4.05%E -2.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.71%E -3.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.48%E -4.21%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 20:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.64%E -5.17%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.83%E -1.77%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 19:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-05-31 19:50
Novig2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-31 20:00
BetOpenly2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-05-31 19:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-05-31 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-05-31 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%0.9%2026-05-31 20:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-05-31 20:00
Polymarket2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-05-31 17:20
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%3.0%2026-05-31 20:00