Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 1.76
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 43.83%; New York Yankees (Visit): 56.17%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.76, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.39%E -0.616%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.39%E -0.616%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -1.39%E -0.616%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.39%E -0.616%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.32%E -4.43%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 00:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.82%E -0.814%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-30 00:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -2.26%E -1.01%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.70%E -0.972%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.70%E -1.22%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.26%E -1.30%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.14%E -1.42%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.14%E -0.647%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-30 01:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -2.82%E -1.63%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-29 14:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-30 01:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-30 01:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-29 14:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.76%E -4.07%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.58%E -1.63%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.13%E -6.33%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -4.02%E -1.83%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.95%E -2.31%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 14:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.45%E -2.04%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.89%E -2.25%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.32%E -4.43%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-30 01:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.88%E -4.80%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -5.33%E -2.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -7.88%E -4.80%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 23:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.51%E -2.65%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.07%E -3.00%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 01:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 23:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.77%E -2.68%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.19%E -3.71%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.96%E -3.79%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.63%E -3.35%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 0.7% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67% | 2.1% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84% | 2.9% | 2026-05-30 01:30 |