Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–2 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 42.20%2.37fair odd
EV +0.008%
Edge +0.003%
Kelly +0.006%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.36%42.37%42.29%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3747.62%44.29%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 57.80%1.73fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.12%57.63%57.71%59.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.661.7162.89%60.24%60.24%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 42.20%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 57.80%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3698. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.3700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.008%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV +0.008%E +0.003%K +0.006%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 22:14
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV -0.414%E -0.175%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.836%E -0.356%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-25 21:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.836%E -0.356%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -0.836%E -0.356%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.26%E -0.538%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 01:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.26%E -0.538%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-26 01:19
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.68%E -0.721%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 01:26
Everygame🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.68%E -0.721%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-25 21:59
BetUS🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.68%E -0.721%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-26 01:19
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.10%E -0.906%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 01:29
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -2.10%E -0.906%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-26 01:39
theScore Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.52%E -1.09%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-25 16:29
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 01:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 01:09
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-25 22:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-24 19:54
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-25 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 06:14
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -1.16%E -0.677%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-26 01:29
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-26 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.79%E -1.66%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-26 01:09
MyBookie.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 17:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-26 01:29
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 22:59
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 01:38
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -4.21%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-26 01:38
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -4.63%E -2.05%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 22:59
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-26 01:09
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 21:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 21:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 21:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 22:09
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:34
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-26 01:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-25 21:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 22:24
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-26 01:29
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.48%E -2.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.63%E -2.80%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-26 01:38
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.90%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 01:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.90%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.78%E -3.55%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-26 01:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.32%E -2.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.05%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 01:28
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-26 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.36%E -3.93%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -6.94%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-26 01:30
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -8.43%E -3.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.56%EV -7.52%E -4.70%K -12.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 01:09
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.28%E -4.31%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-26 01:39
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.16%E -0.677%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-26 01:39
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 01:37
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 01:39
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.74%E -1.02%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-26 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%-0.2%2026-08-26 01:35
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.21%-0.1%2026-08-26 01:39
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-26 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-26 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-26 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-08-26 01:39
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-25 22:14
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-25 01:44
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-08-26 01:39
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-08-26 01:35