مدرسة الاحتمالات

Athletics v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-07-05 20:31 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Athletics 8–9 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Athletics (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.08%1.92السعر العادل
EV -2.10%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%52.04%52.12%53.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.811.831.88100.00%55.20%54.64%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.92%2.09السعر العادل
EV -0.797%
الأفضلية -0.385%
Kelly -0.744%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.07

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.74%47.96%47.88%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.001.992.002.07100.00%50.31%50.00%48.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%EV -1.28%E -0.619%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-05 20:29
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 20:29
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 20:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 20:20
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.28%E -0.619%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 19:59
Everygame1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.28%E -0.619%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 12:24
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:14
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 20:15
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.797%E -0.385%K -0.744%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 20:19
FanDuel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:35
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:38
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 17:33
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 04:49
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 20:29
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 19:55
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:25
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 22:00
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:55
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:54
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 17:54
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 09:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:35
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:30
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 20:20
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 04:25
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 20:29
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 20:09
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 17:55
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 14:05
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:35
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 17:40
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.63%E -2.33%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 20:20
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 18:35
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.22%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.07%E -3.10%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 20:20
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 19:10
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:54
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 19:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 04:40
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 04:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 04:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 02:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.26%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:55
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:54
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:55
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.23%E -1.10%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 19:55
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.31%E -4.10%K -9.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.51%E -3.89%K -8.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 20:04
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.35%E -4.74%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 19:55
NordicBet1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -47.92%E -47.92%K +0.000%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 50.00%EV -52.08%E -52.08%K +0.000%G +0.000%100.0%2026-07-05 20:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-07-05 20:30
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-07-05 20:30
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-07-05 20:20
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-05 13:45
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-05 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-05 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-05 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-05 20:30
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.28%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.72%1.7%2026-07-05 20:30
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%2.0%2026-07-05 18:55