Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-09-24 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 7–3 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.656%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.93%45.07%44.91%46.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2550.00%46.73%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 54.90%1.82fair odd
EV -0.083%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.48%54.93%55.09%57.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.721.8262.11%58.18%58.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 45.10%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 54.90%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.48%E +0.656%K +1.18%G +0.017%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-24 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 00:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:40
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 00:40
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:40
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV +0.574%E +0.257%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.77%E -4.62%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.123%E +0.055%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 01:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV +0.123%E +0.055%K +0.101%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 01:05
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.779%E -0.354%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-24 01:40
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.779%E -0.354%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.32%E -4.98%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:40
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.23%E -0.562%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-24 01:35
Everygame🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.68%E -0.771%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-24 01:13
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.68%E -0.771%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -1.68%E -0.771%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -9.42%E -5.71%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 01:40
BetUS🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.13%E -0.983%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-24 00:55
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -2.58%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-24 01:24
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 01:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-24 01:05
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:00
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:02
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-24 01:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:39
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.03%E -1.41%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 17:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-24 01:15
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 01:39
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -3.49%E -1.63%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -11.61%E -7.21%K -19.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 01:40
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -3.94%E -1.85%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -0.083%E -0.045%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-23 22:15
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:39
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 01:34
Caesars🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.39%E -2.07%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.12%E -3.58%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 01:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.28%E -1.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-24 01:40
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.83%E -1.60%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-23 06:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-24 01:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 23:25
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-24 01:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 05:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.29%E -2.52%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.57%E -3.24%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.19%E -2.98%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-24 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.09%E -3.44%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-23 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.38%E -1.92%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:25
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.93%E -2.24%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-24 01:29
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 01:39
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.02%E -2.90%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-23 23:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.54%E -3.68%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.22%E -4.27%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 01:13
DraftKings🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -8.00%E -3.92%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.47%E -2.57%K -6.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.67%E -3.92%K -9.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-24 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -10.51%E -6.45%K -16.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-24 01:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-09-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-09-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-09-24 01:40
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%0.6%2026-09-24 01:40
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-09-23 22:50
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-09-24 01:40
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-24 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-09-24 01:00
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-09-24 01:05
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%1.6%2026-09-24 01:40