Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 9–7 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 49.81%2.01fair odd
EV -0.380%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%49.67%50.00%52.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.912.0055.56%51.89%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 50.19%1.99fair odd
EV -0.122%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.89%50.33%50.00%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.891.901.9956.82%53.04%52.63%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 49.81%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 50.19%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.992. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.990, with an expected value of -0.122%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.380%E -0.190%K -0.380%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.15%E -4.45%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-23 00:45
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-23 01:20
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-23 01:30
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -8.65%E -4.76%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-23 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 00:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -1.87%E -0.951%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-23 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 00:35
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -2.87%E -1.47%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-23 01:40
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.63%E -0.830%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 01:30
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -3.37%E -1.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -1.63%E -0.830%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-23 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-22 07:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-23 01:35
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -3.87%E -2.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -11.67%E -6.63%K -15.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 00:45
Everygame🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -0.122%E -0.061%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-23 01:36
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 00:44
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -4.36%E -2.27%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -6.65%E -3.57%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 01:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 12:19
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 17:49
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 17:54
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 17:54
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 18:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 05:33
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 21:14
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 21:20
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-21 21:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-23 01:12
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.86%E -2.55%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-23 01:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 07:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 18:04
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 21:00
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 21:00
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-21 21:20
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 01:35
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 01:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.36%E -2.82%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.65%E -4.16%K -9.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-23 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.86%E -3.10%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.13%E -1.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-23 01:35
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.72%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-23 01:40
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.36%E -3.38%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-23 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.86%E -3.67%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.29%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.85%E -4.24%K -9.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.15%E -3.86%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-23 01:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -9.35%E -5.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -0.624%E -0.315%K -0.636%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-23 01:38
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.34%E -5.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.66%E -5.37%K -12.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-23 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-09-23 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-23 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-23 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-09-23 01:40
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.0%2026-09-23 01:40
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-09-23 01:40
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-22 22:05
BetOpenly◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-09-23 01:35
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.8%2026-09-23 01:20