Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–5 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 36.71%2.72fair odd
EV +0.224%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.130%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.41%36.73%36.80%38.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.592.7342.02%38.93%38.61%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 63.29%1.58fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.815%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.10%63.27%63.20%64.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.511.5669.44%65.98%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 36.71%; Houston Astros (Visit): 63.29%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.224%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.92%EV +0.224%E +0.082%K +0.130%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.08%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.510%E -0.188%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -0.510%E -0.188%K -0.298%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-26 01:20
GTbets🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%EV -0.877%E -0.325%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-26 01:20
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -0.877%E -0.325%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 01:32
Fliff🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.877%E -0.325%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.33%E -4.28%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 01:40
BetAnything🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -1.61%E -0.601%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-26 01:29
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -1.98%E -0.741%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.90%E -1.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-26 01:24
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -2.35%E -0.882%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-26 01:25
DraftKings🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%EV -2.35%E -0.882%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:19
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:34
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -2.71%E -1.02%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.60%E -5.21%K -16.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 01:25
FanDuel🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 01:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 01:35
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-26 01:19
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.81%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-26 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-25 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 01:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:40
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-26 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-26 01:15
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:40
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:38
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:39
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.55%E -1.75%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-25 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.92%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.92%E -1.90%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 01:35
Betsson🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.65%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.65%E -2.20%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.44%E -2.94%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 01:05
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.54%E -1.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 16:30
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-26 01:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.80%E -2.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 23:30
Betway🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 01:40
888sport🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-25 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.38%E -2.50%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.70%E -3.83%K -11.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-26 01:35
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 01:33
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.22%E -3.29%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-26 01:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.59%E -3.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.97%E -4.74%K -14.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-26 01:35
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.95%E -3.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.95%E -3.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.95%E -3.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -8.95%E -3.61%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-26 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:30
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:30
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:30
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -1.27%E -0.815%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-26 01:29
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.05%E -4.10%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.90%E -1.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 01:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.79%E -4.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -10.79%E -4.44%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -3.17%E -2.07%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 01:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.89%E -4.95%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.87%E -6.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-26 01:35
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -12.62%E -5.30%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -5.07%E -3.38%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-09-26 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-09-26 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-09-26 01:40
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-26 01:10
Novig◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-26 01:40
ProphetX◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-09-26 01:40
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-26 01:05
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-09-26 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%1.6%2026-09-26 01:39
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17%1.9%2026-09-26 01:30