Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-09-25 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 5–7 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 38.52%2.60fair odd
EV +0.912%
Edge +0.348%
Kelly +0.563%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.59%38.46%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.482.6243.48%40.55%40.40%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 61.48%1.63fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -3.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.41%61.54%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.5967.57%64.47%64.10%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 38.52%; Houston Astros (Visit): 61.48%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.912%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV +0.912%E +0.348%K +0.563%G +0.005%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-25 01:30
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.142%E +0.054%K +0.089%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-25 01:25
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.629%E -0.244%K -0.398%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-25 01:40
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -1.01%E -0.394%K -0.646%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-25 01:39
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.40%E -0.546%K -0.897%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-25 00:55
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.24%E -1.41%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-25 01:32
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 01:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -1.78%E -0.700%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-25 01:40
BetUS🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-25 01:39
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -2.55%E -1.01%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 01:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.32%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-25 01:29
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-24 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-24 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 01:30
ReBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 01:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 00:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 00:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-25 01:29
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-25 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 00:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.71%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 00:59
SportsBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-24 23:25
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-24 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:40
DraftKings🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-25 01:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 01:39
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.48%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 01:30
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.87%E -1.97%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-24 23:25
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-24 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:40
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:40
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:39
Bally Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-25 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 23:40
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 01:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-25 00:50
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 23:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-24 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 00:40
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.41%E -2.64%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.41%E -2.64%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 01:40
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.79%E -2.81%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 01:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 01:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.86%E -1.81%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 01:40
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.47%E -2.21%K -6.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 01:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.08%E -2.62%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.31%E -3.45%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-25 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.56%E -3.15%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-25 01:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -7.95%E -3.32%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -7.16%E -4.74%K -14.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-25 01:30
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.33%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.93%E -3.88%K -11.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-24 23:25
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.33%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.77%E -5.18%K -15.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-25 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 01:34
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.70%E -3.03%K -8.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-25 01:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.41%E -4.96%K -8.78%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.00%E -6.08%K -18.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-25 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-25 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-25 01:30
ProphetX◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-09-25 01:40
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-24 23:30
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%0.9%2026-09-25 01:40
Polymarket◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-09-25 01:40
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-09-25 01:40
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%2.9%2026-09-25 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%2.9%2026-09-25 01:35