Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Houston Astros

Kickoff: 2026-09-27 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–13 Houston Astros

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 40.04%2.50fair odd
EV -0.692%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%40.03%40.15%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.16%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Houston Astros (Visit)

Prediction 59.96%1.67fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.97%59.85%60.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.581.581.6466.23%63.11%63.29%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 40.04%; Houston Astros (Visit): 59.96%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -0.692%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.692%E -0.279%K -0.468%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-27 01:30
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.61%EV -1.09%E -0.442%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.39%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-27 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.09%E -0.442%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 01:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -1.09%E -0.442%K -0.743%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-27 01:30
BetAnything🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -1.49%E -0.607%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-27 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.89%E -0.773%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 01:20
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.67%E -1.02%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-27 01:29
Everygame🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -2.69%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -2.27%E -1.39%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-27 01:11
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-27 01:29
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -3.09%E -1.28%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.27%E -3.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 01:35
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-26 23:14
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-26 13:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-27 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-27 01:35
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 00:40
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-27 01:39
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 01:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:45
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-27 00:43
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-27 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.90%E -1.62%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-26 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-27 01:40
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-27 00:25
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-27 00:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 01:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 01:40
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 00:24
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.10%E -2.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.27%E -3.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-27 01:38
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-27 01:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.50%E -2.33%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-27 01:30
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-27 01:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 23:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-27 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.67%E -2.94%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-26 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 00:30
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-27 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.90%E -2.51%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.47%E -4.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-27 01:40
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.70%E -2.87%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.47%E -2.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-26 21:50
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.10%E -3.06%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.27%E -5.40%K -15.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-27 00:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 13:05
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.87%E -1.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-27 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.07%E -2.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-27 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.27%E -3.33%K -9.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-27 01:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 23:15
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-26 23:43
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.87%E -3.74%K -10.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-27 01:40
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 01:29
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.07%E -4.56%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-27 01:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.90%E -3.43%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.47%E -6.27%K -18.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-27 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -11.90%E -5.41%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -8.87%E -5.83%K -17.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-27 01:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-27 01:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-09-27 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-09-27 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-09-27 01:25
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-26 14:25
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-09-27 01:40
ProphetX◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-09-27 01:40
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-09-27 00:40
Novig◎2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%2.6%2026-09-27 01:40
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%2.8%2026-09-27 01:40