Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-08-02 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 0–11 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 46.67%2.14odd justa
EV -0.588%
Vantagem -0.276%
Kelly -0.520%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.91%46.74%46.64%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1351.28%48.84%48.78%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 53.33%1.88odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.726%
Kelly -1.58%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.26%53.36%54.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.801.8558.14%55.80%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 46.67%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 53.33%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.13, com valor esperado de -0.588%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -0.588%E -0.276%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.48%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-02 17:40
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.05%E -0.497%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 19:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.05%E -0.497%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.48%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.05%E -0.497%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.48%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 17:40
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.05%E -0.497%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.48%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 19:14
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.52%E -0.721%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-02 20:00
BetAnything🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.52%E -0.721%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 17:45
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.99%E -0.947%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.99%E -0.947%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 18:15
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.99%E -0.947%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-02 20:05
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.45%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.34%E -0.726%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-02 19:45
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.92%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 18:25
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.92%E -1.40%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 20:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.48%E -1.92%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.85%E -1.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 18:00
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:24
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:44
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 19:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:00
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:05
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:10
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:05
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:59
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 20:03
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 18:15
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.32%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 20:05
Bet Right🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-02 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.79%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 20:03
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 18:54
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:40
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:44
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.72%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.54%E -2.54%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 18:44
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.94%E -1.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 19:05
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 20:04
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 20:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.08%E -2.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.68%E -3.82%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 19:38
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.52%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.28%E -4.81%K -11.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 18:25
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:59
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.01%E -2.23%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 19:58
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-08-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-08-02 20:05
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-08-02 20:05
Matchbook◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-08-02 20:05
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.84%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.16%1.5%2026-08-02 20:05
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-08-02 20:05
BetOpenly◎2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.3%2026-08-02 20:04
ProphetX◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-08-02 20:05