Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-02 20:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 49.33%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.37%49.40%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.931.932.0054.05%51.78%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 50.67%1.97momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.63%50.60%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9455.56%53.15%53.19%51.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletics (Local): 49.33%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 50.67%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.03. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.00, con un valor esperado de -1.34%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:35
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:35
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:35
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 20:49
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-02 01:45
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.34%E -0.671%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.79%E -4.88%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 02:25
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.33%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.875%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 21:30
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.33%E -1.18%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.70%E -0.875%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-02 01:54
MyBookie.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:53
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 00:04
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:50
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:50
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 20:54
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:34
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 01:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.81%E -1.95%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.30%E -2.22%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 21:30
Bovada1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 21:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:54
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:55
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 01:55
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Bally Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:49
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 02:05
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:55
TABtouch1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:55
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 00:54
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.74%E -2.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 01:44
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.29%E -2.75%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:49
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:14
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 20:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.68%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 02:44
Betr (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.23%E -2.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:50
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-01 20:49
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.75%E -3.09%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 01:55
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 20:55
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.78%E -3.03%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.26%E -3.38%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 20:48
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:14
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:34
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:39
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:09
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.72%E -1.96%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.28%E -3.30%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.24%E -2.80%K -6.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 01:54
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.26%E -3.86%K -8.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.97%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.46%EV -8.25%E -4.43%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.54%EV -7.78%E -4.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 20:49
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.74%E -4.73%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.78%E -4.27%K -9.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-08-02 00:35
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-01 18:50
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.1%2026-08-02 02:40
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%5.0%2026-08-02 02:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%10.2%2026-08-02 01:50