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Athletics v Detroit Tigers

2026-08-02 01:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 44.27%2.26fair odd
EV -0.392%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.29%44.30%45.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.42%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 55.73%1.79fair odd
EV -0.244%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.309%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.80%55.71%55.70%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7960.98%58.42%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Athletics (Local): 44.27%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 55.73%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.794. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.790, with an expected value of -0.244%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.392%E -0.174%K -0.314%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.03%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:04
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -1.72%E -0.775%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -1.36%E -0.767%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-31 17:35
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.72%E -0.775%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:39
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.72%E -0.775%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.03%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 17:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.36%E -0.767%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 18:19
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.61%E -1.18%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.49%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 17:55
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.49%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:54
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.49%E -1.60%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:59
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -3.93%E -1.81%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.244%E -0.136%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:44
MyBookie.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.38%E -2.03%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.59%E -2.07%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 17:43
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.03%E -1.74%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 17:59
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:45
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:44
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:45
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:59
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.82%E -3.44%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 17:45
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.82%E -2.24%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 17:35
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.26%E -2.46%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.70%E -2.75%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 17:38
Betclic (FR)2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.12%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 17:38
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.14%E -2.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.26%E -3.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 17:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.03%E -3.35%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.93%E -4.15%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.25%E -4.51%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.05%E -4.88%K -12.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.46%E -5.73%K -11.46%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.60%E -5.25%K -13.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%-0.1%2026-07-31 19:15
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-31 19:15
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-07-31 19:25
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%10.1%2026-07-31 17:40