Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.67
assuming max odds 1.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 37.40%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 62.60%. For Athletics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.674. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.670, with an expected value of -0.148%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -0.148%E -0.056%K -0.089%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 23:33 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 37.20%EV -0.896%E -0.338%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.80%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -1.64%E -0.625%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -2.02%E -0.770%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.39%E -0.917%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20%EV -1.09%E -0.689%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-01 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -3.14%E -1.21%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.51%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -3.89%E -1.51%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.26%E -1.66%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 22:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 01:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.64%E -1.82%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.38%E -2.13%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.76%E -2.28%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.34%E -1.50%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 22:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 01:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.22%E -2.76%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-01 23:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.84%E -3.19%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.47%E -3.62%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.10%E -4.06%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -6.51%E -2.60%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.23%E -6.36%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-02 01:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.25%E -2.92%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.25%E -2.92%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.59%E -2.33%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -1.71%E -1.09%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.38%E -3.42%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.97%E -1.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 22:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -8.75%E -3.59%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -6.72%E -4.51%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 01:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 0.9% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.20% | 1.8% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.7% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 01:39 |
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