Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Cleveland Guardians

Início: 2026-05-02 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–14 Cleveland Guardians

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 55.24%1.81odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -0.942%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.91%55.24%55.24%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.721.7860.61%58.10%58.14%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Previsão 44.76%2.23odd justa
EV -0.181%
Vantagem -0.081%
Kelly -0.147%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.76%44.76%47.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.81%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 55.24%; Cleveland Guardians (Visitante): 44.76%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.234. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.230, com valor esperado de -0.181%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 19:50
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.97%E -0.900%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 19:47
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:15
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.181%E -0.081%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 19:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:01
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:50
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 19:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:55
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 19:38
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:50
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:59
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:55
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:55
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:53
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 20:05
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 08:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 20:00
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.90%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.15%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.85%-0.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 19:59
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 12:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 20:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-02 19:55