La escuela de los momios

Athletics v Cleveland Guardians

Inicio: 2026-05-02 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 6–14 Cleveland Guardians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 55.24%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.91%55.24%55.24%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.7860.61%58.10%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cleveland Guardians (Visitante)

Predicción 44.76%2.23momio equitativo
EV -0.181%
Ventaja -0.081%
Kelly -0.147%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.76%44.76%47.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2350.00%46.81%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-02 20:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 20:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-02 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.68%E -0.942%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 20:05
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 19:50
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -1.97%E -0.900%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-02 19:47
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 20:05
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:15
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.78%E -1.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.181%E -0.081%K -0.147%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-02 19:05
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 17:35
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:01
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 07:04
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:50
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 17:25
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 20:05
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 19:55
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 16:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 21:24
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-02 19:55
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 19:38
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 19:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:50
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 16:59
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 19:39
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:55
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 19:55
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 18:24
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 11:53
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 20:05
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 08:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 11:55
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 19:55
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 19:55
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 20:00
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 20:05
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.20%E -4.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.10%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 17:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.90%E -3.31%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 55.15%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.85%-0.9%2026-05-02 20:00
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-02 19:59
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 12:15
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-02 20:05
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-02 20:05
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-05-02 19:55