Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 7–6 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 59.06%1.69fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.13%59.05%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6764.94%62.30%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 40.94%2.44fair odd
EV -0.511%
Edge -0.210%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.87%40.95%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.352.352.4344.44%42.64%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 59.06%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 40.94%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.43, with an expected value of -0.511%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.37%E -0.822%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.97%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 19:35
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.37%E -0.822%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 19:25
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -1.96%E -1.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.38%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-18 20:00
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%EV -1.33%E -0.552%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 20:05
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 18:30
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -3.14%E -1.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -0.511%E -0.210%K -0.357%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 20:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.14%E -1.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.33%E -0.552%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%EV -3.14%E -1.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%EV -1.33%E -0.552%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:05
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.14%E -1.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -5.42%E -2.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 19:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 13:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 19:44
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 18:30
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.74%E -2.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.06%E -3.11%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 18:32
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 18:54
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.42%E -2.35%K -4.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 13:30
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 19:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 00:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 20:05
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.33%E -2.67%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -0.511%E -0.210%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 19:45
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 07:29
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 05:50
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.92%E -3.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 01:00
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 01:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.20%E -1.79%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 13:29
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.65%E -2.92%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:05
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.51%E -3.44%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.10%E -3.84%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 11:43
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.69%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.69%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.69%E -4.23%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.79%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:55
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.28%E -4.64%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 20:05
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 20:05
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.87%E -5.04%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.01%E -2.16%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.46%E -5.46%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.74%E -0.725%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 07:35
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -9.05%E -5.88%K -16.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.70I 58.82%NM 59.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 40.28%-1.5%2026-04-18 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-18 20:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%0.8%2026-04-18 20:00
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-18 18:30
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-18 20:05
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.27%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.73%1.0%2026-04-18 20:05
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-04-18 20:05
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%4.8%2026-04-18 20:05