Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 20:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 4–7 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%58.92%58.90%60.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.621.621.6864.10%61.61%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV +0.756%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.521%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.80%41.08%41.10%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4545.45%43.04%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 58.88%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 41.12%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.756%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.756%E +0.309%K +0.521%G +0.004%2.5%2026-04-19 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.756%E +0.309%K +0.521%G +0.004%2.5%2026-04-19 20:05
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.756%E +0.309%K +0.521%G +0.004%2.5%2026-04-19 20:05
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.30%E -0.542%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.30%E -0.542%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 18:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.30%E -0.542%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-19 18:30
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.30%E -0.542%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-19 20:05
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.12%E -0.892%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-19 19:40
BetUS🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.27%E -1.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-19 19:40
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.09%E -0.649%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-19 19:53
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-19 11:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 20:04
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 19:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 20:05
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:30
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.36%E -1.43%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -2.27%E -1.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-19 19:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-19 19:23
Bovada🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-19 20:00
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 06:45
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 20:04
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.68%E -1.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 07:50
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-19 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.44%E -2.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-19 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-19 19:50
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 09:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 09:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 09:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.62%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 19:25
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 05:15
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 08:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.03%E -2.47%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.65%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.62%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 19:54
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.15%E -5.23%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.53%E -4.33%K -7.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-19 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 59.08%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.92%0.2%2026-04-19 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-19 20:05
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-19 19:15
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-19 20:04
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-19 20:05
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.9%2026-04-19 20:05
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 29.41%41.7%2026-04-19 20:05