Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 2–9 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Athletics (Local)

Prediction 58.96%1.70fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -2.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%58.89%58.96%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.621.621.6763.29%61.72%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 41.04%2.44fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.11%41.04%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.342.352.4044.44%42.74%42.55%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Athletics (Local): 58.96%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 41.04%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.54%E -0.922%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 01:10
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.54%E -0.922%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-18 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.54%E -0.922%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -1.54%E -0.922%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 01:40
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%EV -2.13%E -1.28%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%EV -1.50%E -0.625%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-18 01:39
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.50%E -0.625%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 13:55
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-18 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-17 08:04
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 01:35
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 09:04
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.72%E -1.65%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 01:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 09:45
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 14:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 09:04
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -3.90%E -2.39%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.84%E -3.01%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.50%E -0.625%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 01:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 22:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:39
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:39
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.78%E -2.06%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 15:04
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.19%E -2.25%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 01:40
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 12:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 12:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 12:29
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 09:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.49%E -2.77%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 01:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:39
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.73%E -1.15%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 03:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.37%E -1.88%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.19%E -2.25%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 01:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.08%E -3.15%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 01:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.975%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 01:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 01:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 06:39
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.67%E -3.54%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.66%E -3.40%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:15
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.26%E -3.93%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.55%E -1.51%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.85%E -4.33%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.60%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 01:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-18 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-18 01:40
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-04-18 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%1.5%2026-04-18 01:40
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-18 01:40
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-04-18 01:40
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%2.6%2026-04-18 01:40
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%3.0%2026-04-18 01:40
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%6.2%2026-04-18 01:40