Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-29 01:41 UTC

Final: Athletics 3–4 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 48.86%2.05odd justa
EV +1.14%
Vantagem +0.551%
Kelly +1.07%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.51%48.48%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.961.952.0753.48%51.02%51.28%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 51.14%1.96odd justa
EV -1.30%
Vantagem -0.673%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.52%51.05%53.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.861.871.9357.14%53.71%53.48%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 48.86%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 51.14%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.05. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.07, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.14%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV +1.14%E +0.551%K +1.07%G +0.012%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 01:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -1.30%E -0.645%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 01:39
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%EV -1.30%E -0.673%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-28 14:14
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:35
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:35
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -1.79%E -0.891%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 01:41
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -1.30%E -0.673%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-28 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-28 23:20
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:40
Everygame🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 01:36
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 01:35
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 18:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.97%E -5.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -9.99%E -5.68%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 01:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.51%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 01:33
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.28%E -1.14%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.51%E -6.00%K -14.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 01:34
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.77%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.30%E -0.673%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-28 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.77%E -1.39%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.30%E -0.673%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 01:41
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-29 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 14:15
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.26%E -1.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 01:30
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.35%E -1.77%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-29 01:41
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.75%E -1.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -7.95%E -4.42%K -9.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 22:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.23%E -2.16%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-28 22:39
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.83%E -1.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 15:50
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 01:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 01:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 16:05
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:40
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.72%E -2.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:05
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:50
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:05
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:40
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:40
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.21%E -2.69%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:40
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.70%E -2.95%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 01:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.86%E -2.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.19%E -3.22%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.90%E -3.21%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 01:41
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.32%E -1.22%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.68%E -3.50%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.39%E -2.91%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -6.93%E -3.81%K -8.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 01:15
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.14%E -4.33%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -7.44%E -4.11%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.63%E -4.62%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.34%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-08-28 22:55
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-28 22:35
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-28 17:45
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-28 21:10
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-29 01:40
BetOpenly◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-08-29 01:35
ProphetX◎2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%1.6%2026-08-29 01:41
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.84%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.16%2.9%2026-08-29 01:40