Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Baltimore Orioles

2026-08-29 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

44%

56%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 43.80%2.28momio equitativo

EV -1.01%

Ventaja -0.448%

Kelly -0.803%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

43.15%43.88%43.77%47.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.022.172.182.2649.50%46.00%45.87%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 56.20%1.78momio equitativo

EV +1.16%

Ventaja +0.645%

Kelly +1.45%

Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

52.88%56.12%56.23%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.641.701.701.8060.98%58.79%58.82%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletics (Local): 43.80%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 56.20%. Para Baltimore Orioles (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.78. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.16%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local	Visitante ▼	Margen	Actualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.52%E -5.71%K -11.30%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +1.16%E +0.645%K +1.45%G +0.017%	5.1%	2026-08-28 13:30
1xBet🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -0.526%E -0.297%K -0.683%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-08-28 13:45
Pinnacle🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.43%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -1.09%E -0.618%K -1.43%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-28 13:50
FanDuel🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.89%E -0.843%K -1.52%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.65%E -0.943%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-28 13:44
DraftKings🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV -1.01%E -0.448%K -0.803%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-28 13:45
Caesars🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.45%E -0.645%K -1.16%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-28 13:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.45%E -0.645%K -1.16%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-28 13:25
BetUS🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.76%E -1.25%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-08-28 13:30
theScore Bet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -2.21%E -1.27%K -2.99%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-08-28 13:34
BetAnything🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -2.77%E -1.60%K -3.80%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-28 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -7.14%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.34%E -1.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 13:45
Betway🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 13:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 13:49
BetRivers🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-28 12:50
Bovada🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-28 13:44
Fanatics🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-28 13:29
TAB🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 13:45
Coral🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-28 13:45
Bet Right🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 13:24
Casumo🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
Unibet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
betPARX🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
Bally Bet🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
ATG (SE)🎯	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-28 12:50
Coolbet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 13:34
TABtouch🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.95%E -2.28%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-28 12:55
SportsBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.39%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-28 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:34
PlayUp🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:44
Neds🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.46%E -2.62%K -6.37%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 13:45
Fliff🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-28 13:30
BetMGM🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-28 13:45
NordicBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.39%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 13:44
Betsson🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.39%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-28 13:45
ReBet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-28 13:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.21%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-28 13:29
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.58%E -3.32%K -8.21%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-28 13:24
888sport🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 07:40
William Hill🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 07:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.64%E -1.65%K -3.03%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-28 07:40
Paddy Power🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 13:29
Bet Victor🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 13:29
betano_uk🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 13:29
BoyleSports🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-28 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-28 13:45
Grosvenor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.83%E -4.78%K -12.24%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-28 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -10.21%E -4.98%K -9.72%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -7.83%E -4.78%K -12.24%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-08-28 13:30

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
ProphetX◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	0.5%	2026-08-28 13:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-08-28 13:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-08-28 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-08-28 13:31
Matchbook◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	0.6%	2026-08-28 13:31
Novig◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	0.9%	2026-08-28 13:35
Polymarket◎	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%	1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%	1.0%	2026-08-28 13:30
Kalshi◎	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.2%	2026-08-28 13:30
Smarkets◎	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%	2.4%	2026-08-28 13:40

Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.20%DraftKings 2.26 (44.3%) / Dabble (AU) 1.80 (55.7%)Ver detalles

DraftKings🎯 Dabble (AU)🎯

Athletics (Local)	Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)	Margen
DraftKings🎯 2.26 (44.3%)	Dabble (AU)🎯 1.80 (55.7%)	+0.197%