Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-08-30 02:06 UTC

Final: Athletics 3–5 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Previsão 43.02%2.32odd justa
EV +0.242%
Vantagem +0.104%
Kelly +0.182%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%43.00%43.04%44.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.222.202.3346.73%45.00%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 56.98%1.76odd justa
EV -0.859%
Vantagem -0.493%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.84%57.00%56.96%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.681.681.7461.73%59.66%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Athletics (Local): 43.02%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 56.98%. Para Athletics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.32. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.33, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.242%.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.242%E +0.104%K +0.182%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.189%E -0.081%K -0.143%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-29 23:30
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.619%E -0.268%K -0.472%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 02:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.619%E -0.268%K -0.472%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -0.619%E -0.268%K -0.472%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-30 02:05
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.05%E -0.456%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.57%E -1.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.05%E -0.456%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.57%E -1.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 13:01
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.05%E -0.456%K -0.807%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.70%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 01:40
Caesars🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.00%E -1.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 22:55
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -2.00%E -1.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-30 01:43
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -1.91%E -0.837%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 02:04
BetAnything🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.34%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-30 02:05
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.57%E -1.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-30 01:14
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-29 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 00:05
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 02:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:59
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.20%E -1.42%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:00
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.63%E -1.62%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -0.859%E -0.493%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-30 01:30
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:10
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 22:10
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.06%E -1.82%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 22:35
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.92%E -2.23%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.57%E -1.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:25
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 22:35
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 01:35
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:20
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 02:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 02:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 02:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 21:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.85%E -2.90%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 22:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.42%E -3.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 21:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.35%E -2.43%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.70%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 23:40
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:05
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.28%E -2.55%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.21%E -2.85%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 22:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.64%E -3.06%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.71%E -2.19%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 01:25
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -7.07%E -3.27%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -6.56%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 02:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.14%E -1.85%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 23:54
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 01:54
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 01:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 02:05
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.99%E -3.63%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 02:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.50%E -3.49%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.56%E -4.00%K -10.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 00:24
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%EV -7.93%E -3.71%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -7.70%E -4.75%K -12.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 22:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-30 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-30 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-30 02:05
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-29 16:45
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-29 21:35
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-30 02:05
ProphetX◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-30 02:05
BetOpenly◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%2.6%2026-08-30 02:04
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%2.6%2026-08-30 02:05
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%6.5%2026-08-30 02:05