Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics v Baltimore Orioles

2026-08-30 02:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Athletics (Local)

Predicción 43.51%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.084%
Ventaja +0.036%
Kelly +0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.07%43.42%43.54%44.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3047.62%45.36%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Predicción 56.49%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%56.58%56.46%57.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.681.7562.11%59.34%59.52%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Athletics (Local): 43.51%; Baltimore Orioles (Visitante): 56.49%. Para Athletics (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.298. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.300, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.084%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.084%E +0.036%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 13:09
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.084%E +0.036%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +0.084%E +0.036%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 13:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.084%E +0.036%K +0.064%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-29 12:04
Caesars🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -1.22%E -0.538%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.28%E -1.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-29 13:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.22%E -0.538%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -1.22%E -0.538%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 13:10
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.66%E -0.733%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -1.66%E -0.733%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 13:04
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 13:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 13:35
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.29%EV -2.53%E -1.13%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.71%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 13:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:29
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:29
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:29
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:29
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -1.15%E -0.657%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-29 13:04
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -3.40%E -1.53%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -1.72%E -0.986%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-29 13:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.83%E -1.73%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-29 13:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 13:35
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:34
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:30
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 13:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:20
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 13:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.23%E -3.76%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 13:30
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 13:29
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.41%E -1.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-29 13:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:29
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.01%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 13:31
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.01%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.54%E -2.69%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.01%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:34
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.97%E -2.34%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:58
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.10%E -3.04%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-29 13:00
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:33
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:30
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.67%E -3.39%K -8.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -6.88%E -3.21%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -9.06%E -5.63%K -14.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.80%E -4.12%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 13:10
ProphetX2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 13:25
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-29 12:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-29 13:01
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-29 13:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%9.9%2026-08-29 13:35