Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 19:16 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–1 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 54.65%1.83fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.012%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%54.62%54.69%55.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.751.741.8359.17%57.29%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 45.35%2.21fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.575%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%45.38%45.31%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.1950.00%47.30%47.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 54.65%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 45.35%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.8298. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.8300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.010%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-07 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.012%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-07 19:09
BetUS🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.08%E -0.598%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-07 19:09
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.63%E -0.905%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 16:39
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.63%E -0.905%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-07 18:19
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.18%E -1.22%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-07 19:09
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -2.72%E -1.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -0.684%E -0.312%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-07 18:30
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-07 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 19:29
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:17
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 15:39
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.27%E -1.85%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-07 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-06 19:29
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 07:59
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.82%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-07 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.41%E -1.60%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 17:20
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 11:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 11:19
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 11:19
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-07 00:39
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 19:09
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.36%E -2.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-07 19:07
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -1.14%E -0.522%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-07 18:19
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 16:39
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 17:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-07 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 07:19
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-07 11:19
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.91%E -2.82%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-07 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.04%E -0.947%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -2.04%E -0.947%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-07 18:19
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-07 17:19
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 19:39
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-06 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-07 17:19
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 16:49
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.16%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-07 18:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 19:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-07 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 12:59
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 18:19
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.55%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.95%E -1.38%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-07 18:19
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-07 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-07 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-07 18:47
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-07 19:09
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-07 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-07 19:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-07 19:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-06-07 19:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-07 18:19
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-07 18:20
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-07 19:09
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-06-07 19:09