Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Texas Rangers

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 00:11 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–6 Texas Rangers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

66 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 54.72%1.83fair odd
EV +0.143%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.97%54.82%58.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.731.8362.50%58.13%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Rangers (Visit)

Prediction 45.28%2.21fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.34%45.03%45.18%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.102.102.2750.00%47.52%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 54.72%; Texas Rangers (Visit): 45.28%. For Texas Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -12.44%E -7.78%K -20.74%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.34%EV +2.78%E +1.22%K +2.19%G +0.061%6.6%2026-09-13 00:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.52%E -4.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.515%E +0.232%K +0.422%G +0.002%4.2%2026-09-12 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.391%E -0.178%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.391%E -0.178%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -0.391%E -0.178%K -0.326%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 00:09
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.75%E -0.806%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-13 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-12 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:10
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -2.20%E -1.02%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:10
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.50%E -0.833%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-12 14:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-12 21:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 00:10
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-12 23:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.90%E -7.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.90%E -7.39%K -19.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 00:10
BetAnything🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-12 23:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -9.71%E -5.88%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 00:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -9.71%E -5.88%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -9.71%E -5.88%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -3.11%E -1.45%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 00:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.56%E -1.67%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.01%E -1.89%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -4.01%E -1.89%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 00:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -10.25%E -6.25%K -16.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -4.01%E -1.89%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -10.80%E -6.63%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -4.01%E -1.89%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 00:09
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.143%E +0.078%K +0.172%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-12 23:48
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 23:29
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 00:09
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 22:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.33%E -3.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 00:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.88%E -3.42%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 22:15
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-12 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -11.35%E -7.01%K -18.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -4.92%E -2.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -5.37%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 00:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV -8.07%E -4.80%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -5.37%E -2.57%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 00:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -2.59%E -1.46%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -5.82%E -2.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.82%E -2.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 14:50
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.69%E -2.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.28%E -3.03%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 00:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.69%E -2.10%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 00:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 00:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 00:10
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.42%E -3.76%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.61%E -5.16%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.18%E -3.50%K -6.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 00:10
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -3.14%E -1.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -8.54%E -4.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 00:10
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.54%E -4.23%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 00:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.50%E -0.833%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 21:45
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.23%E -2.42%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -4.78%E -2.75%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 00:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.97%E -4.10%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.45%E -4.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-09-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-09-13 00:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-09-13 00:10
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-09-12 14:20
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-09-13 00:10
Novig◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-09-13 00:10
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-09-13 00:09
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%12.0%2026-09-13 00:10