Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-05-07 19:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Previsão 51.07%1.96odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.745%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.87%51.16%51.05%53.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.871.871.9356.50%53.37%53.48%51.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 48.93%2.04odd justa
EV -0.180%
Vantagem -0.088%
Kelly -0.173%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.95%48.84%48.95%50.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.942.0453.48%51.56%51.55%49.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 51.07%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 48.93%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.044. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.040, com valor esperado de -0.180%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.44%E -0.745%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 19:34
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.44%E -0.745%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 17:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:00
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 17:54
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 19:10
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:29
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.180%E -0.088%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:54
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:33
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:39
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:34
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 19:38
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:35
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:44
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:40
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:10
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.54%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:09
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 19:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:39
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:27
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:50
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-07 19:39
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:39
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:39
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-07 19:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-07 19:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-07 18:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-07 19:39