La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-05-07 19:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.87%51.16%51.05%53.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.871.871.9356.50%53.37%53.48%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV -0.180%
Ventaja -0.088%
Kelly -0.173%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.95%48.84%48.95%50.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.941.942.0453.48%51.56%51.55%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.44%E -0.745%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.63%E -1.32%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-07 19:34
BetUS1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.44%E -0.745%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-07 19:39
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 17:54
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 18:00
GTbets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 17:54
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.46%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-07 19:10
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:29
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%EV -2.97%E -1.56%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:29
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -0.180%E -0.088%K -0.173%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-07 14:54
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 19:19
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 19:10
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:29
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:30
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.52%E -3.98%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:29
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:54
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:33
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.99%E -2.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-07 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-07 17:40
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:39
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:34
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 12:30
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 14:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 19:38
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:35
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:44
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 17:40
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 19:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.50%E -4.54%K -9.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:09
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.09%E -2.09%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 19:39
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.01%E -2.69%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 19:39
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.60%E -1.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 17:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:05
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.52%E -2.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:27
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.07%E -2.61%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:29
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -6.05%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:39
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.12%E -1.57%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 14:50
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.54%E -3.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.08%E -4.49%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.61%E -5.43%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.14%E -1.07%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-05-07 19:39
Novig1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:39
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:39
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-05-07 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-05-07 19:39
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-07 19:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-07 18:55
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%2.6%2026-05-07 19:39