The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–9 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.69%47.78%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.30%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 52.32%1.91fair odd
EV +0.448%
Edge +0.233%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.31%52.22%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.831.831.9258.48%54.63%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 47.68%; New York Yankees (Visit): 52.32%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.448%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV +0.448%E +0.233%K +0.487%G +0.002%1.8%2026-09-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.075%E -0.039%K -0.082%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-18 14:42
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 14:00
GTbets🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 14:00
BetUS🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 14:39
Everygame🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -4.16%E -2.07%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-18 14:02
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.598%E -0.315%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:29
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -1.64%E -0.875%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-18 14:27
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 13:30
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.17%E -1.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:09
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:30
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.21%E -1.74%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:40
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -3.74%E -2.03%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:30
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 13:29
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 14:39
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:29
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.26%E -2.33%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:30
Caesars🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.73%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 13:28
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:54
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.78%E -2.63%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 13:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -5.31%E -2.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 13:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.68%E -1.82%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 13:34
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:25
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:29
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.83%E -3.24%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.88%E -3.86%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.97%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.03%EV -7.40%E -4.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.25%E -1.10%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:29
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -8.97%E -5.15%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 13:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.24%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.76%EV -10.54%E -6.16%K -14.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 48.02%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.98%-0.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-09-18 14:45
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-09-18 14:35
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-09-18 13:29
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-09-18 15:29
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-09-18 14:45
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-09-18 15:00