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Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Yankees
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 40.31%2.48fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.847%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.21%40.45%40.41%43.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4547.62%43.78%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Yankees (Visit)
Prediction 59.69%1.68fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +2.09%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.19%59.55%59.59%60.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.7064.52%61.49%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 40.31%; New York Yankees (Visit): 59.69%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 00:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -11.31%E -5.14%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -12.11%E -5.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV +1.46%E +0.862%K +2.09%G +0.031% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -12.52%E -5.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV +0.271%E +0.161%K +0.398%G +0.001% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -13.32%E -6.20%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.326%E -0.195%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 00:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -13.32%E -6.20%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -0.326%E -0.195%K -0.486%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 00:23 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -5.66%E -2.42%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -15.34%E -7.30%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -2.71%E -1.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -4.45%E -1.88%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -6.87%E -2.98%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.31%E -2.04%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.24%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -4.86%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 21:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.91%E -2.43%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 21:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.86%E -2.06%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.29%E -4.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.50%E -2.81%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -1.23%E -0.501%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.70%E -3.61%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.29%E -4.01%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.24%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 00:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.24%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.89%E -4.42%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.24%E -1.35%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-19 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 00:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.26%E -2.24%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 00:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 00:02 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.28%E -3.16%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.49%E -4.83%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 23:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 00:23 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 00:19 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-09-19 23:29 |