L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 01:41 UTC

Score final : Arizona Diamondbacks 1–3 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 46.82%2.14cote équitable
EV -0.748%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.668%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.74%46.86%46.75%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.042.042.1251.28%49.00%49.02%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.18%1.88cote équitable
EV +0.516%
Avantage +0.273%
Kelly +0.579%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.14%53.25%54.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.801.801.8957.80%55.65%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV +0.516%E +0.273%K +0.579%G +0.003%1.9%2026-05-09 00:59
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.548%E -0.293%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 01:15
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.83%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 01:39
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:58
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:39
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.748%E -0.353%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 00:54
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.748%E -0.353%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 00:54
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.22%E -0.576%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 00:54
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.22%E -0.576%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 00:54
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 01:39
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 01:34
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.74%E -2.07%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.74%E -2.07%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:39
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:55
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 01:34
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:55
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:09
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 01:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 01:34
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 01:09
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 01:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 01:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 00:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:20
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:54
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 01:04
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.40%E -3.64%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.40%E -3.64%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 00:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 01:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.99%E -4.62%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 01:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-09 01:39
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-09 01:14
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-09 01:34
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-09 00:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-09 01:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-05-09 01:39
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-05-09 01:39