La escuela de los momios

Arizona Diamondbacks v New York Mets

Inicio: 2026-05-09 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 1–3 New York Mets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 46.82%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.748%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.668%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%46.86%46.75%48.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.042.042.1251.28%49.00%49.02%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Predicción 53.18%1.88momio equitativo
EV +0.516%
Ventaja +0.273%
Kelly +0.579%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.59%53.14%53.25%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.801.801.8957.80%55.65%55.56%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV +0.516%E +0.273%K +0.579%G +0.003%1.9%2026-05-09 00:59
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -0.548%E -0.293%K -0.630%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-09 01:15
Bovada1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -6.83%E -3.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -2.14%E -1.16%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 01:39
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -7.30%E -3.69%K -7.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:58
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.71%E -4.46%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.68%E -1.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 01:39
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.748%E -0.353%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 00:54
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.748%E -0.353%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-09 00:54
BetOnline.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.22%E -0.576%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 00:54
LowVig.ag2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.22%E -0.576%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-09 00:54
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 01:39
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.21%E -1.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-09 01:34
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.74%E -2.07%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -3.74%E -2.07%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.56%E -1.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:59
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:39
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 01:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:59
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:54
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 00:55
Bet Right2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 01:34
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:55
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:55
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:59
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.49%E -2.20%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:09
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 01:34
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 01:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.27%E -2.37%K -5.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 01:34
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 00:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 01:09
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.43%E -2.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.80%E -2.68%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 01:09
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 00:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 00:54
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 01:39
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.33%E -3.00%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 00:55
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:55
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 22:20
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.68%E -0.802%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 00:54
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.87%E -3.31%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 01:04
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.09%E -1.49%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.40%E -3.64%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 00:55
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.40%E -3.64%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 00:54
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:54
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.02%E -1.96%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 00:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.93%E -3.96%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 01:04
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.37%E -3.18%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.99%E -4.62%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 01:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-05-09 01:39
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-09 01:39
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-05-09 01:14
ProphetX2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%0.6%2026-05-09 01:34
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-09 00:55
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-09 01:10
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-05-09 01:39
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%3.1%2026-05-09 01:39