Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Minnesota Twins

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 19:16 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 2–4 Minnesota Twins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -0.837%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.03%55.08%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.741.8059.52%57.40%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 44.91%2.23fair odd
EV -0.301%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%44.97%44.92%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.102.2249.50%47.29%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 55.09%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 44.91%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -0.301%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.837%E -0.465%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.94%E -1.09%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.94%E -1.09%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.59%E -3.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-21 18:49
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.04%E -3.40%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 17:39
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.49%E -1.41%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 19:09
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.301%E -0.136%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 17:59
Everygame🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.301%E -0.136%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-21 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.750%E -0.339%K -0.620%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-21 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.20%E -0.545%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.20%E -0.545%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-21 17:59
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -1.65%E -0.753%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-21 18:00
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.10%E -0.962%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-21 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.49%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.49%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.49%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.04%E -1.73%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.49%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 17:39
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.59%E -2.05%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 14:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 13:29
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 12:49
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 17:59
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 13:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.89%E -1.82%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 12:49
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.34%E -2.04%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 12:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.14%E -2.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.14%E -2.94%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 14:09
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:29
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 13:30
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.24%E -2.48%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 14:29
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 12:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 19:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-21 16:49
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -4.69%E -2.71%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -9.28%E -4.60%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-21 17:40
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.00%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-21 17:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 18:00
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.79%E -2.26%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 17:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.24%E -3.05%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 12:59
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.44%E -1.60%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 17:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.80%E -3.39%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 19:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.69%E -2.71%K -5.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 19:08
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.35%E -3.73%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.94%E -3.87%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.45%E -4.43%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.49%E -3.63%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 18:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-06-21 18:59
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-06-21 18:59
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-21 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-21 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-21 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-21 19:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 17:10
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 18:09
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-21 19:10
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-06-21 19:10