Language:English
Arizona Diamondbacks v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 58.76%1.70fair odd
EV +0.479%
Edge +0.280%
Kelly +0.675%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.43%58.59%58.71%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.621.621.7164.52%61.67%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 41.24%2.42fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.424%
Kelly +0.716%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%41.41%41.29%43.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.312.4547.62%43.17%43.20%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 58.76%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 41.24%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.05%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.95%EV +1.04%E +0.424%K +0.716%G +0.007% | 2.2% | 2026-09-16 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%EV -3.63%E -2.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%EV +0.626%E +0.257%K +0.435%G +0.003% | 2.0% | 2026-09-16 01:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV +0.214%E +0.088%K +0.150%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV +0.214%E +0.088%K +0.150%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV +0.214%E +0.088%K +0.150%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 01:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -0.611%E -0.254%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.25%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.75%EV -0.611%E -0.254%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-16 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.02%E -0.426%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.57%E -4.13%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.02%E -0.426%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -1.85%E -0.777%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.26%E -0.954%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -2.26%E -0.954%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.09%E -1.31%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.91%E -1.68%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -3.63%E -2.22%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.40%E -3.35%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.16%E -4.53%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV -4.74%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 01:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.81%E -2.97%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-15 06:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV +0.479%E +0.280%K +0.675%G +0.003% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-15 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.56%E -2.43%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 01:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 00:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -8.92%E -5.76%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.22%E -2.59%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.38%E -2.81%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-15 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -0.108%E -0.064%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -8.45%E -3.80%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.87%E -1.12%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.46%E -1.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -5.98%E -3.74%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -9.68%E -4.42%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 01:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -2.46%E -1.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 01:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.05%E -1.85%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 01:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -7.75%E -4.93%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -13.40%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-16 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 0.2% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 01:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-09-16 01:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.6% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.7% | 2026-09-16 01:40 |