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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Arizona Diamondbacks v Miami Marlins

2026-09-15 01:41 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Predicción 55.23%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.579%
Ventaja -0.321%
Kelly -0.723%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.55%55.32%55.27%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.89%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV +1.17%
Ventaja +0.518%
Kelly +0.929%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.68%44.73%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.132.122.2648.78%46.94%47.17%44.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 55.23%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 44.77%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.23. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.26, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV +1.17%E +0.518%K +0.929%G +0.011%2.4%2026-09-14 01:39
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 23:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 02:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.52%E -0.689%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 01:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 19:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.24%E -1.26%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-13 19:50
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -0.579%E -0.321%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-13 23:35
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -3.31%E -1.53%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 01:34
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 19:53
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:29
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-13 20:30
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 00:25
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 01:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-13 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:05
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.65%E -3.94%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 20:30
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 23:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 23:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 23:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.20%E -1.96%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-13 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 19:50
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:14
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:49
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 23:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.10%E -2.40%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -5.54%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 20:08
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:05
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 21:49
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.45%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 19:50
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.99%E -2.85%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -6.44%E -3.08%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-14 01:40
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -8.23%E -4.01%K -7.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-14 01:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-09-14 02:25
Novig◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%0.9%2026-09-14 00:50
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-14 00:00
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-13 23:05
Matchbook◎1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%4.8%2026-09-14 02:20
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.62%8.8%2026-09-13 23:45
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.20%1xBet 1.80 (55.7%) / BetUS 2.26 (44.3%)Ver detalles
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)Miami Marlins (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 1.80 (55.7%)BetUS🎯 2.26 (44.3%)+0.197%