The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 20:10 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–2 Los Angeles Dodgers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 44.38%2.25fair odd
EV +0.747%
Edge +0.329%
Kelly +0.588%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.57%44.32%46.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.172.2750.00%46.32%46.08%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 55.62%1.80fair odd
EV -1.000%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.33%55.43%55.68%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.711.7860.98%58.26%58.48%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 44.38%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 55.62%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.747%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.747%E +0.329%K +0.588%G +0.004%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 20:09
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%EV -0.141%E -0.063%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-09 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.141%E -0.063%K -0.113%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-09 19:50
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%EV -1.47%E -0.663%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%EV -1.56%E -0.879%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.5%2026-08-09 19:25
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.92%E -0.867%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.92%E -0.867%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 20:05
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.91%EV -1.92%E -0.867%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-09 18:49
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-09 20:10
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 20:10
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 20:09
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 19:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 19:45
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.36%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.23%E -4.99%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.80%E -1.28%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-09 19:40
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.000%E -0.562%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-09 18:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 20:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:10
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:10
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:10
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:09
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 20:09
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.25%E -1.49%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.01%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 18:50
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 20:04
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -3.69%E -1.70%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -6.56%E -3.91%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 20:09
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 19:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 19:45
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 19:24
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.89%E -2.86%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.45%E -3.21%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.01%E -3.55%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 20:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 18:43
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.58%E -2.13%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.12%E -4.26%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 20:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.91%E -2.79%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.35%E -3.01%K -5.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.78%E -2.19%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.34%E -2.52%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:05
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.80%E -3.24%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -8.79%E -5.36%K -13.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.27%EV -7.24%E -3.47%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.73%EV -7.67%E -4.62%K -11.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 20:07
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -7.69%E -3.70%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.000%E -0.562%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -2.11%E -1.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 20:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.02%E -4.40%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-09 20:09
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 19:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.67%E -1.52%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 20:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.24%E -5.62%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.22%E -1.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-08-09 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-08-09 19:55
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-09 18:50
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-08-09 20:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-08-09 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%1.1%2026-08-09 20:10
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-09 18:40
ProphetX◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.25%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75%1.3%2026-08-09 20:10
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-09 20:10
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-08-09 19:55