Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-08-09 20:10 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 45.55%2.20fair odd
EV +2.04%
Edge +0.910%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.20%45.60%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.112.122.2450.76%47.37%47.28%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 54.45%1.84fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.80%54.40%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.96%57.97%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 45.55%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 54.45%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.24, producing a positive expected value of +2.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV +2.04%E +0.910%K +1.64%G +0.034%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -8.53%E -5.08%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 19:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.217%E +0.099%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 19:08
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.217%E +0.099%K +0.181%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.16%E -6.16%K -15.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 19:08
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -1.15%E -0.530%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -2.54%E -1.42%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-08 18:30
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.958%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.958%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.06%E -0.958%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.90%E -4.03%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 19:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.06%E -0.958%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.44%E -4.38%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 19:09
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.52%E -1.18%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.35%E -3.69%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 19:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.97%E -1.40%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.00%E -1.11%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-08 18:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 19:09
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:09
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.34%E -2.07%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.81%E -3.36%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 19:10
DraftKings🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.25%E -2.52%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.17%E -2.37%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.63%E -2.05%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.72%E -2.70%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 18:08
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.26%E -3.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 19:09
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -6.62%E -3.23%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -7.99%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 19:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -9.80%E -4.95%K -10.00%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.62%E -5.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.17%EV -10.26%E -5.21%K -10.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.83%EV -7.99%E -4.72%K -11.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%-0.0%2026-08-08 19:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-08 18:04
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-08-08 19:05
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 45.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%10.1%2026-08-08 19:10