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Arizona Diamondbacks v Detroit Tigers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)
Prediction 50.07%2.00fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.696%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.19%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.891.9754.64%52.63%52.91%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Detroit Tigers (Visit)
Prediction 49.93%2.00fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.41%49.81%50.00%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.921.921.9753.48%52.01%52.08%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 50.07%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 49.93%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.97, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -1.37%E -0.696%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 01:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -1.87%E -0.955%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -2.13%E -1.09%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.22%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.63%E -0.827%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-01 00:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 00:23 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.37%E -1.75%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 01:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.02%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.63%E -1.88%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.13%E -2.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.62%E -2.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-01 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.13%E -1.61%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.88%E -3.13%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.63%E -2.42%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-01 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.38%E -3.41%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.62%E -3.54%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.38%E -4.58%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.63%E -1.35%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-04-01 01:34 |
| Novig◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.37% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 01:34 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 01:34 |