Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 65.45%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 34.55%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.40%E -4.48%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -6.40%E -4.48%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV +1.92%E +0.651%K +0.984%G +0.019% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.14%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.86%EV +0.537%E +0.185%K +0.281%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91%EV -1.82%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%EV +0.192%E +0.066%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 1.1% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.68%E -7.01%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.192%E +0.066%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.68%E -7.01%K -25.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.192%E +0.066%K +0.101%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%EV -0.499%E -0.173%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-10 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -0.845%E -0.294%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-10 22:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%EV -1.19%E -0.416%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.19%E -0.416%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.19%E -0.416%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-10 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%EV -2.48%E -1.66%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%EV -1.54%E -0.539%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-10 22:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -10.99%E -8.08%K -30.52%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -1.54%E -0.539%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 01:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.58%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.42%EV -2.57%E -0.912%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -1.17%E -0.774%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -2.92%E -1.04%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-10 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-10 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.06%E -4.97%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.37%E -5.98%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.26%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.95%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.95%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.95%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 15:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 01:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 23:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.99%E -1.81%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.03%E -2.22%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.44%E -3.04%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 20:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.72%E -2.49%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.41%E -2.76%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.79%E -2.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -7.41%E -2.76%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.10%E -3.51%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 21:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.13%E -2.12%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 00:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -6.40%E -4.48%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -10.17%E -3.91%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.82%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.63%E -5.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 01:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.82%E -1.22%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.63%E -5.45%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 01:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 66.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.78% | -0.7% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39% | 0.3% | 2026-08-10 23:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 18:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-08-11 01:35 |