Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Colorado Rockies

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 19:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 4–6 Colorado Rockies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 61.64%1.62fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.61%61.58%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.541.6068.03%64.59%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Colorado Rockies (Visit)

Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV +0.120%
Edge +0.046%
Kelly +0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.39%38.42%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6143.48%40.08%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 61.64%; Colorado Rockies (Visit): 38.36%. For Colorado Rockies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.607. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.610, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.120%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -3.23%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV +0.120%E +0.046%K +0.075%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 62.05%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.95%EV -0.263%E -0.101%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-12 17:44
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.263%E -0.101%K -0.165%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 19:24
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -1.03%E -0.399%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 17:44
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37%EV -1.41%E -0.550%K -0.901%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-12 19:35
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%EV -1.99%E -1.25%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%EV -1.80%E -0.702%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:35
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 19:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:29
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 18:29
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:35
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -6.92%E -4.59%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.18%E -0.855%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 17:25
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.95%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 17:14
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-12 19:35
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.33%E -1.32%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -3.72%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -3.72%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:35
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -3.72%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-12 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -3.72%E -1.48%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.23%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 19:50
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 17:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 19:34
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 19:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 17:44
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 17:43
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.54%E -5.03%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.10%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.23%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.48%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 19:25
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.23%E -2.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 19:34
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 19:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:14
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.07%E -3.30%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 17:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.69%E -3.72%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -9.39%E -6.39%K -19.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -6.02%E -2.46%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 19:35
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -3.84%E -2.46%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -7.17%E -2.96%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 18:59
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.38%E -0.860%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 19:34
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:34
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.31%E -4.15%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%EV -6.92%E -4.59%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.94%E -3.31%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 19:24
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -2.61%E -1.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -9.09%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 19:33
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.46%E -2.88%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 19:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%0.5%2026-08-12 19:35
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-08-12 19:30
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-12 17:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-08-12 19:35
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-12 13:50
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 62.38%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.62%1.5%2026-08-12 19:35
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-08-12 19:35