Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-04-22 01:41 UTC

Final: Arizona Diamondbacks 5–11 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prediction 56.87%1.76fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.04%56.98%56.81%58.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.60%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.572%
Kelly +0.996%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.25%43.02%43.19%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.232.3546.51%44.86%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local): 56.87%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 43.13%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.34%E +0.572%K +0.996%G +0.013%3.2%2026-04-21 11:09
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.482%E +0.207%K +0.362%G +0.002%2.1%2026-04-22 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV +0.051%E +0.022%K +0.038%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-22 00:15
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.381%E -0.165%K -0.291%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-21 21:00
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.812%E -0.353%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 01:34
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.812%E -0.353%K -0.625%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -1.67%E -0.734%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-22 00:55
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -1.61%E -0.929%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -2.11%E -0.928%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-22 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-21 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 00:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.97%E -1.32%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-21 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.61%E -0.929%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.61%E -0.929%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 01:35
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -1.61%E -0.929%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-22 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -3.40%E -1.52%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 20:55
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:54
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:55
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 00:55
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.59%E -3.37%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:54
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.59%E -3.37%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 00:54
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.59%E -3.37%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.83%E -1.72%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 01:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.26%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.26%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-22 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.26%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-22 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.26%E -1.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 01:35
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -4.69%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 01:36
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:39
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 01:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 01:35
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 01:34
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.88%E -2.30%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 01:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:39
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 00:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:39
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.02%E -3.01%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.16%E -3.73%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 01:34
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.86%E -4.85%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.12%E -2.33%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -3.31%E -1.95%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -5.56%E -2.54%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-22 01:34
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -2.74%E -1.60%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 01:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 01:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.99%E -2.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-22 01:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.45%E -2.65%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.28%E -3.39%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 01:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.59%E -3.37%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.28%E -3.39%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 01:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 56.51%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.49%-0.0%2026-04-22 01:39
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-22 01:39
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-22 01:35
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-04-22 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-22 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-22 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-04-22 01:39
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-04-22 01:39
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-04-22 01:39