默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks v Atlanta Braves

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 23:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Arizona Diamondbacks (主队)

预测 51.00%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.551%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.94

博彩公司预测分布
49.47%50.88%51.05%52.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.871.861.9454.64%53.51%53.76%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atlanta Braves (客队)

预测 49.00%2.04公平赔率
EV +0.949%
优势 +0.461%
Kelly +0.896%
增长率 +0.009%

假设最高赔率为 2.06

博彩公司预测分布
47.45%49.12%48.95%50.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.861.951.952.0653.76%51.28%51.28%48.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Arizona Diamondbacks (主队):51.00%;Atlanta Braves (客队):49.00%。 对于“Atlanta Braves (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.06,对应+0.949%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV +0.949%E +0.461%K +0.896%G +0.009%2.3%2026-04-04 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.459%E +0.224%K +0.437%G +0.002%2.5%2026-04-04 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.459%E +0.224%K +0.437%G +0.002%2.5%2026-04-04 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.521%E -0.257%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.01%E -0.500%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 22:49
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.50%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.99%E -0.995%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 07:30
Bovada🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.17%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:13
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 22:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.17%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:14
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:09
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 06:19
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:09
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 16:34
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 08:49
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 08:49
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:24
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.13%E -2.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:49
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:49
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:14
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:44
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:44
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.13%E -2.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -1.07%E -0.551%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.09%E -1.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:14
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-04 23:14
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-04 23:14
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-04 23:14
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-04 23:15