L’École des cotes

Arizona Diamondbacks v Atlanta Braves

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 23:16 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

Prévision 51.00%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.551%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%50.88%51.05%52.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.871.861.9454.64%53.51%53.76%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.00%2.04cote équitable
EV +0.949%
Avantage +0.461%
Kelly +0.896%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.45%49.12%48.95%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.861.951.952.0653.76%51.28%51.28%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV +0.949%E +0.461%K +0.896%G +0.009%2.3%2026-04-04 23:04
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.459%E +0.224%K +0.437%G +0.002%2.5%2026-04-04 23:04
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV +0.459%E +0.224%K +0.437%G +0.002%2.5%2026-04-04 23:09
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 51.65%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.35%EV -0.521%E -0.257%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -1.01%E -0.500%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 22:49
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.50%E -0.747%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.99%E -0.995%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 07:30
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -6.17%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:13
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 22:15
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-04 23:14
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 15:15
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:44
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 22:44
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.17%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.95%E -2.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 23:14
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 20:09
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 21:50
MyBookie.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.78%EV -3.62%E -1.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.22%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 20:09
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 23:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 06:19
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 20:09
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 16:34
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:44
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 08:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 08:49
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:44
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:45
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:24
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:24
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 22:35
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.13%E -2.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 20:09
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:49
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.64%E -2.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 08:49
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 15:14
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:44
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 22:44
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.13%E -2.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.42%E -2.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 20:04
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 23:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.15%E -2.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 23:09
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:30
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.66%E -3.06%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 10:29
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.68%E -3.65%K -8.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:49
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -1.07%E -0.551%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -6.89%E -3.63%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.09%E -1.09%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.87%E -4.19%K -8.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.60%E -1.36%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 20:09
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.11%E -1.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.85%E -4.76%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-04 23:14
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-04-04 23:14
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-04 23:14
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-04 23:14
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%2.5%2026-04-04 23:14
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-04-04 23:15