The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Worcester Red Sox v Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.75%44.40%44.01%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.132.2151.55%48.05%47.06%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit)

Prediction 56.20%1.78fair odd
EV +1.16%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%55.60%55.99%57.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.691.8060.61%58.35%59.17%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Worcester Red Sox (Local): 43.80%; Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit): 56.20%. For Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -14.59%E -7.48%K -15.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV +1.16%E +0.645%K +1.45%G +0.017%6.8%2026-05-05 21:09
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -15.03%E -7.75%K -15.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV +0.038%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-05 18:45
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.72%E -6.96%K -14.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -1.09%E -0.617%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 20:54
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.83%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.02%E -2.97%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-05 22:00
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 20:54
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.02%E -3.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.14%E -3.68%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-05 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.20%E -1.45%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -7.27%E -4.41%K -11.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.