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Worcester Red Sox v Rochester Red Wings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Worcester Red Sox (Local)
Prediction 46.37%2.16fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -4.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%46.44%46.31%47.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.992.022.002.0650.25%49.54%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rochester Red Wings (Visit)
Prediction 53.63%1.86fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -5.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.79%53.56%53.69%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.751.741.7858.48%57.27%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.47%E -2.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -6.15%E -3.52%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-09 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 15:05 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.69%E -3.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-09 16:33 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.08%E -2.87%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-09 20:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 17:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.69%E -3.85%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 21:54 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.30%E -4.85%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-09 19:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -7.72%E -3.88%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -4.55%E -2.55%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-09 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.