Worcester Red Sox v Rochester Red Wings

2026-07-09 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

46%

54%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 45.96%2.18fair odd

EV -5.32%

Edge -2.58%

Kelly -5.02%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.91%45.98%45.92%46.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.042.052.0650%49%49%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 54.04%1.85fair odd

EV -5.43%

Edge -3.10%

Kelly -7.24%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.48%54.02%54.08%54.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.711.741.741.7558%58%57%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-09 15:05
theScore Bet	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 15:05
Caesars	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 15:06
BetOnline.ag	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 15:24
Bovada	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-09 16:33
BetRivers	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.51%E -3.76%K -8.92%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-09 16:54
1xBet	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-09 17:49
Betway	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.59%E -4.44%K -10.69%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-07-09 19:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.