The School of Odds

Worcester Red Sox v Rochester Red Wings

2026-07-11 20:05 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 44.88%2.23fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%44.79%44.88%45.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.092.102.1049%48%48%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 55.12%1.81fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%55.21%55.12%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.701.711.7160%59%58%58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:24
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:24
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 11:36
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -6.20%E -2.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -5.75%E -3.36%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -7.54%E -3.66%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:49
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.99%E -3.90%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.30%E -3.71%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.