The School of Odds

Worcester Red Sox v Rochester Red Wings

2026-07-10 22:45 UTC — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Worcester Red Sox (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%46.92%46.95%47.58%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.951.992.002.0051%50%50%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Rochester Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -3.13%
Kelly -7.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.42%53.08%53.05%53.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.751.771.771.7857%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 15:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 15:29
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 15:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-10 16:14
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 15:44
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.45%E -4.33%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.